How Outcome rewards two-sided liquidity and trading across the World Cup champion market and every World Cup match market. This page is the technical reference for Outcome’s World Cup liquidity rewards. It explains how rewards are scored and paid so that makers and takers can reason about the program and update their strategies with confidence. The program runs from the opening match on June 11 through the final on July 19. It has two independent reward programs:

The champion market, covering the single “2026 World Cup champion?” market for the full tournament.
The match markets, covering every World Cup match, with rewards published per match each day.

Both programs share the same core philosophy and the same building blocks. They differ in how reward budget is allocated and in a small number of scoring parameters. Rewards are paid in USDC on Hyperliquid. All trading takes place on Outcome.xyz, and the reward computation infrastructure is operated by Monarch.

Core philosophy

The program pays for liquidity that is genuinely useful to traders: deep depth posted close to fair value, with more reward weight directed to the markets and moments that need liquidity most. It stays simple enough that makers can reason about it and continuously adjust. Three ideas apply across the program:

Near fair value. Only orders inside a scored band around the current mid earn, and orders closer to the mid earn more.
Two-sided earns more. One-sided liquidity can score, but balanced two-sided liquidity receives a multiplier of up to 3x.
Useful. Quotes that actually get filled earn an additional reward, and a share is also set aside for the takers who use that liquidity.

Shared concepts

Settlement and price convention

Each market is a binary outcome book. A YES contract settles at 1.00 if the outcome occurs and at 0.00 if it does not. A price is equivalent to the implied probability, where one cent equals one percentage point: 56 cents reads as a 56% implied probability.

Reference mid

hyperliquid_mid is the mid price of the market’s order book on Hyperliquid. It is the reference price used for distance scoring, quote depth scoring, maker fill scoring, taker fill scoring, and probability-weighted scoring.

Reward split

Within each reward budget, the same split applies:

Component	Share	What it pays for
Quote rewards	40%	Sustained displayed depth near fair value.
Maker fill rewards	30%	Maker-side fills, proving the displayed liquidity was actually useful.
Taker fill rewards	30%	Taker-side fills, to bootstrap real usage.

Maker fill rewards pay the execution of resting orders. Combined with the quote rewards, the majority of every budget flows to liquidity providers, with a meaningful taker incentive on top.

Builder code eligibility

Only orders and trades placed on Outcome.xyz are eligible for rewards. Eligible activity must use the Outcomexyzbuilder code attached to all orders:

0xab5dbc057628bc18523c4cdfc0e1e2ebdbecb704

There is currently no additional fee for using the builder code. This keeps attribution simple and makes reward accounting auditable without adding any trading cost. Activity that does not carry the builder code does not score.

Scoring data

Quote scoring is calculated by recording the live order book during the incentivized period. The score is summed individually for each maker over every block, applying the scoring criteria relative to that block’s mid price.

Quote depth scoring

Quote rewards are based on scored bid depth and scored ask depth. One-sided liquidity can score, but balanced two-sided liquidity earns more. A block only scores if the maker has at least 50 USD of raw displayed bid-plus-ask order notional inside the scored band, before any multipliers:

raw_bid_notional_usd + raw_ask_notional_usd >= 50 USD

Side scores are weighted by the distance multiplier and combined with a two-sided multiplier driven by how balanced the book is:

bid_side_score  = sum(bid_order_notional_usd * distance_multiplier)
ask_side_score  = sum(ask_order_notional_usd * distance_multiplier)
depth_score     = bid_side_score + ask_side_score

balance_ratio   = min(bid_side_score, ask_side_score) / max(bid_side_score, ask_side_score)
                  (0 if one side scores nothing)
two_sided_multiplier = 1 + 2 * balance_ratio

block_score     = depth_score * two_sided_multiplier   if the 50 USD minimum is met, else 0

The two-sided multiplier ranges from 1.00x for fully one-sided liquidity to 3.00x for fully balanced liquidity. It is evaluated independently for every market a maker quotes; balanced liquidity in one market does not improve the score in another. Because the balance ratio uses distance-weighted side scores, balance means matching useful depth near the mid on both sides, not just matching raw size.

Reward program 1: The champion market

Market structure

“2026 World Cup champion?” is a multi-outcome market. The program scores each team’s selected YES winner book once. The scored book is the outcome YES-frame book: the selected YES child plus its sibling NO placement stream, with sibling prices mirrored as 1 - price and bid/ask flipped, scored once as merged liquidity under the selected YES child. NO books are not separate reward surfaces, but NO-placed liquidity and fills on the selected sibling contribute once after normalization.

Reward budget

daily_pool        = 600 USD
reward_period     = 1 day
quote_reward_pool = 40%
maker_fill_pool   = 30%
taker_fill_pool   = 30%
payout_method     = pro-rata by probability-weighted score

There is one shared daily pool for the full champion campaign and no fixed budget per team.

Team eligibility

Eligibility is set once per reward day using a blended mid, which is used only for daily eligibility, not intraday scoring. The eligible team list is published before the start of each reward day, targeted for 09:00 UTC, on the Outcome frontend and via Monarch’s API.

eligibility_mid = internal blended mid
team is day-eligible if eligibility_mid > 5.00% and eligibility_mid <= 99.00%

The day-start list avoids constant eligibility churn during the day. If a team is eliminated, scoring for that team stops immediately.

Scoreable blocks

During the day, quote depth, maker fills, and taker fills only score in blocks where the reference mid stays inside the scoring thresholds:

block is scoreable if current_hyperliquid_mid > 5.00% and current_hyperliquid_mid <= 99.00%

If a team starts above 5.00% but the Hyperliquid mid moves to 5.00% or below, those blocks score zero, and scoring resumes if the mid moves back above 5.00%. The same applies symmetrically at 99.00%. Eliminated teams stop scoring immediately.

Distance multiplier

The champion program uses a fixed 2.00 cent depth cutoff on both bid and ask sides with the shared spread curve. Orders only score inside the 1.00% to 99.00% rewardable price range:

distance_cents      = abs(order_price - hyperliquid_mid) * 100
max_distance        = 0.02
max_distance_cents  = 2.00
lower_scored_bound  = max(0.01, hyperliquid_mid - max_distance)
upper_scored_bound  = min(0.99, hyperliquid_mid + max_distance)

if lower_scored_bound <= order_price <= upper_scored_bound:
    distance_multiplier = (2 - distance_cents) ^ 2
else:
    distance_multiplier = 0

An order at the mid earns a multiplier of 4.00x, falling to zero at exactly 2.00 cents away. Orders outside the scored band receive zero score. The fixed curve keeps the same multiplier across all champion teams. Worked cutoffs:

Reference mid	Max distance	Scored band
16.00%	2.00 cents	14.00% to 18.00%
6.00%	2.00 cents	4.00% to 8.00%
98.50%	2.00 cents	96.50% to 99.00%

Probability-weighted scoring

At the end of the daily reward period, each eligible team’s average daily Hyperliquid mid is converted into a normalized probability weight:

daily_mean_hyperliquid_mid = average hyperliquid_mid across valid blocks for the team
probability_weight         = daily_mean_hyperliquid_mid
normalization_total        = sum(probability_weight across eligible teams)
team_score_weightage       = probability_weight / normalization_total

final_team_block_score     = block_score * team_score_weightage

Reward weight follows the market’s own probability distribution, so attention flows to eligible teams with more trading interest. Probability weights can sum to more than 100% before normalization, but team_score_weightage is the actual normalized weight and always sums to 1.00 across eligible teams. The eligible team list is published each day. Example weightings may be published alongside it for reference; those figures are illustrative and are not a guaranteed per-team budget.

Rewards

Quote reward, per maker:

maker_quote_score  = sum(final_team_block_score across eligible teams and blocks)
maker_quote_reward = quote_reward_pool * daily_pool * maker_quote_score / total_maker_quote_score

Maker fill reward, per maker-side fill on an eligible, non-eliminated team while the Hyperliquid mid is inside the scoring thresholds and the builder code is used:

maker_fill_score  = maker_fill_notional_usd * team_score_weightage
maker_fill_reward = maker_fill_pool * daily_pool * maker_fill_score / total_maker_fill_score

Taker fill reward, per taker-side fill under the same conditions:

taker_fill_score  = taker_fill_notional_usd * team_score_weightage
taker_fill_reward = taker_fill_pool * daily_pool * taker_fill_score / total_taker_fill_score

Final payout, per wallet:

total_reward = maker_quote_reward + maker_fill_reward + taker_fill_reward

Reward program 2: The match markets

Market structure

Daily match campaigns apply to all World Cup match markets for that reward day. For each match the program scores the mutually exclusive YES outcome books. Group-stage matches score three YES books:

Team 1 wins YES
Team 2 wins YES
Draw YES

Knockout matches score one selected YES-frame book. The sibling NO placement stream is normalized into that book before scoring, but NO books are not scored as separate reward surfaces:

Team 1 wins/progresses YES (equivalent to Team 2 loses/knocked out)

Reward budget

For each match, Monarch publishes the match list, reward amount, scheduled kickoff time, and incentive window at the 09:00 UTC update before the incentive window begins.

reward_period     = match incentive window
quote_reward_pool = 40%
maker_fill_pool   = 30%
taker_fill_pool   = 30%
payout_method     = pro-rata by score

Match reward amounts are set by tournament stage:

Stage	Reward amount
Group stage before Germany vs Curacao on June 13	100 USD per match
Group stage from Germany vs Curacao on June 13 onward	320 USD per match
Round of 32	200 USD per match
Round of 16	400 USD per match
Quarter finals	600 USD per match
Semi finals	1,000 USD per match
Third place	600 USD for the match
Final	2,000 USD for the match

/ The match reward is split equally across all match outcomes, so the program buys liquidity across the full match surface:

match_outcome_count     = number of match outcomes
outcome_reward_amount   = match_reward_amount / match_outcome_count
outcome_quote_pool      = 40% * outcome_reward_amount
outcome_maker_fill_pool = 30% * outcome_reward_amount
outcome_taker_fill_pool = 30% * outcome_reward_amount

Incentive window

incentive_start_time = scheduled_kickoff_time - 12 hours
incentive_end_time   = final whistle, or when penalties are resolved if the match goes to penalties

Orders and trades only score inside the window. This gives makers time to build pre-match liquidity while keeping rewards focused on markets close enough to kickoff to matter. The 09:00 UTC publication includes the match id, reward amount, scheduled kickoff time, incentive start time, incentive end rule, status, live multiplier, and scored outcomes.

Scoreable blocks

A block scores only where the market can support useful trading and the mid is inside the scoring thresholds:

block is inside the match incentive window
market is active and not resolved
hyperliquid_mid is available
current_hyperliquid_mid >= 1.00% and current_hyperliquid_mid <= 99.00%

Blocks before the start time or after the end time score zero. If the mid leaves the 1.00% to 99.00% band, those blocks score zero and resume when it returns. If a market is paused, halted, cancelled, stale, or missing a reliable mid, those blocks score zero. If a market resolves or becomes impossible to trade normally, scoring stops immediately.

Live match multiplier

Liquidity and fills during the live match receive a 5x multiplier, directing rewards toward the period when match markets need liquidity most:

if the match is live:
    live_multiplier = 5
else:
    live_multiplier = 1

The live window runs from the kickoff whistle to the final whistle, or until penalties are resolved. It does not apply before kickoff, after the match ends, while the market is paused or halted, or when normal live trading is not supported.

Distance multiplier

Match markets move quickly, so the program uses a fixed 2.00 cent depth cutoff on both bid and ask sides with a spread curve that still pays more for liquidity closer to fair value:

distance_cents     = abs(order_price - hyperliquid_mid) * 100
max_distance_cents = 2.00

if distance_cents <= max_distance_cents:
    distance_multiplier = (2 - distance_cents) ^ 2
else:
    distance_multiplier = 0

An order at the mid earns a multiplier of 4.00x, falling to zero at exactly 2.00 cents away. Orders more than 2.00 cents from the mid score zero.

Quote depth score with the live multiplier

The live multiplier is applied to each side score before the balance ratio:

base_bid_side_score = sum(bid_order_notional_usd * distance_multiplier)
base_ask_side_score = sum(ask_order_notional_usd * distance_multiplier)

bid_side_score = base_bid_side_score * live_multiplier
ask_side_score = base_ask_side_score * live_multiplier

depth_score          = bid_side_score + ask_side_score
balance_ratio        = min(bid_side_score, ask_side_score) / max(bid_side_score, ask_side_score)
                       (0 if one side scores nothing)
two_sided_multiplier = 1 + 2 * balance_ratio

match_block_score    = depth_score * two_sided_multiplier   if the 50 USD minimum is met, else 0

Rewards

Quote reward, per maker, summed over scored outcomes:

maker_outcome_quote_score  = sum(match_block_score across eligible blocks)
maker_outcome_quote_reward = outcome_quote_pool * maker_outcome_quote_score / total_maker_outcome_quote_score
maker_quote_reward         = sum(maker_outcome_quote_reward across matches and scored outcomes)

Maker fill reward, per maker-side fill on a scored outcome under the block conditions and builder code:

maker_outcome_fill_score  = maker_fill_notional_usd * live_multiplier
maker_outcome_fill_reward = outcome_maker_fill_pool * maker_outcome_fill_score / total_maker_outcome_fill_score
maker_fill_reward         = sum(maker_outcome_fill_reward across matches and scored outcomes)

Taker fill reward, per taker-side fill under the same conditions:

taker_outcome_fill_score  = taker_fill_notional_usd * live_multiplier
taker_outcome_fill_reward = outcome_taker_fill_pool * taker_outcome_fill_score / total_taker_outcome_fill_score
taker_fill_reward         = sum(taker_outcome_fill_reward across matches and scored outcomes)

Final payout, per wallet:

total_reward = maker_quote_reward + maker_fill_reward + taker_fill_reward

Exclusions

Across both programs, the following do not score:

Markets that are paused, halted, cancelled, stale, or resolved.
Blocks outside the eligible period (the reward day for the champion market, the incentive window for matches).
Blocks without a reliable reference mid.
Champion blocks where the Hyperliquid mid is 5.00% or below, or above 99.00%.
Match blocks where the Hyperliquid mid is below 1.00% or above 99.00%.
Orders outside the scored band (2.00 cents for both the champion market and match markets).
Teams that were not eligible at reward-day start, and eliminated teams (champion market).
NO books as separate reward surfaces; NO-placed liquidity and fills score once when they belong to the selected sibling and are normalized into the selected YES-frame book.
Orders or trades that do not use the Outcomexyz builder code.
Self-trades, related-wallet churn, wash trading, and circular volume.

These exclusions remove the most obvious ways to be paid for liquidity that is stale, duplicated, fake, unattributable, or not useful.

Payout and settlement

Rewards are paid in USDC on Hyperliquid, pro-rata within each reward pool, based on each wallet’s share of the scored activity. There are no fixed per-wallet caps. Champion rewards are calculated each day; match rewards are calculated per incentive window. Only orders and trades placed on Outcome.xyz with the Outcomexyz builder code are eligible.

Quick reference

	Champion market	Match markets
Scope	One market, full tournament, eligible teams published daily	Every match, published daily
Reward period	1 day	Match incentive window
Budget	600 USD per day	Per-match amount set by stage table
Split	40 / 30 / 30	40 / 30 / 30
Scored books	Each team’s YES-frame book	Mutually exclusive match outcome books
Distance cutoff	Fixed 2.00 cents	Fixed 2.00 cents
At-mid multiplier	4.00x	4.00x
Live multiplier	None	5x during live play
Weighting	Probability-weighted over eligible teams, normalized	Equal split across all match outcomes
Scoring thresholds	Above 5.00%, up to 99.00%	1.00% to 99.00%
Minimum depth	50 USD raw in-band bid+ask notional	50 USD raw in-band bid+ask notional
Two-sided multiplier	1.00x to 3.00x	1.00x to 3.00x

​Core philosophy

​Shared concepts

​Settlement and price convention

​Reference mid

​Reward split

​Builder code eligibility

​Scoring data

​Quote depth scoring

​Reward program 1: The champion market

​Market structure

​Reward budget

​Team eligibility

​Scoreable blocks

​Distance multiplier

​Probability-weighted scoring

​Rewards

​Reward program 2: The match markets

​Market structure

​Reward budget

​Incentive window

​Scoreable blocks

​Live match multiplier

​Distance multiplier

​Quote depth score with the live multiplier

​Rewards

​Exclusions

​Payout and settlement

​Quick reference

Core philosophy

Shared concepts

Settlement and price convention

Reference mid

Reward split

Builder code eligibility

Scoring data

Quote depth scoring

Reward program 1: The champion market

Market structure

Reward budget

Team eligibility

Scoreable blocks

Distance multiplier

Probability-weighted scoring

Rewards

Reward program 2: The match markets

Market structure

Reward budget

Incentive window

Scoreable blocks

Live match multiplier

Distance multiplier

Quote depth score with the live multiplier

Rewards

Exclusions

Payout and settlement

Quick reference